Uruguay vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
39%
22%
39%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1960 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1960 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
ARG
1 - 2
SUN
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
TUR
1 - 2
SUN
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 1
AUT
41%
23%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 3
SUN
44%
22%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |