Uruguay vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 2
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
URU
8 - 0
BOL
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
7 - 1
SWE
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
2 - 2
PAR
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
3 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1950 |
SWE
4 - 1
NED
81%
11%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
SWE
66%
16%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |