Uruguay vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
CZE
1 - 2
URU
45%
26%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
UAE
0 - 2
URU
28%
27%
45%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
URU
5 - 3
ECU
60%
24%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
UAE
1 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
RSA
2 - 2
CZE
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
RSA
1 - 2
BRA
3%
12%
85%
|
81 | 99 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
GER
3 - 0
RSA
93%
6%
2%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
FRA
2 - 1
RSA
93%
6%
1%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | 0 |