Uruguay vs South Africa analysis


70	ELO	70
6.7%	Tilt	-0.6%
35º	General ELO ranking	467º
1º	Country ELO ranking	1º
ELO win probability

67.3%

Uruguay

17.1%

Draw

15.5%

South Africa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

67.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%

17.1%

Draw

0-0

2.4%

1-1

7.2%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

17.1%

15.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+4%

-5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches