Uruguay vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1964 |
SUN
1 - 0
URU
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1964 |
AUT
0 - 2
URU
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1964 |
ENG
2 - 1
URU
80%
12%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
NIR
3 - 0
URU
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1964 |
MAR
0 - 1
URU
37%
22%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
3 - 1
EGY
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1964 |
CSK
2 - 1
DDR
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
YUG
0 - 1
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
2 - 0
MEX
44%
22%
34%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1964 |
DDR
1 - 1
ROU
48%
22%
30%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |