Uruguay vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
URU
3 - 0
RUS
58%
22%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
URU
1 - 0
KSA
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
EGY
0 - 1
URU
28%
25%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
URU
3 - 0
UZB
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
AUT
2 - 1
URU
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
IRN
1 - 1
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
28%
23%
49%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
ALG
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |