Uruguay vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
NOR
0 - 1
URU
24%
22%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1972 |
DDR
0 - 0
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
DDR
1 - 0
URU
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1972 |
ESP
2 - 0
URU
69%
18%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
CHI
5 - 0
URU
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1972 |
ARG
1 - 3
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
POR
2 - 1
IRL
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
POR
4 - 1
CHI
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
IRN
0 - 3
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
POR
3 - 0
ECU
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |