Uruguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 1
URU
26%
31%
44%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
31%
31%
38%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
URU
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1989 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
PER
1 - 2
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
31%
31%
38%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1989 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1989 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |