Copa America Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Uruguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1983 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1983 |
ISR
2 - 2
URU
47%
29%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
SCO
2 - 0
URU
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
VEN
1 - 2
URU
33%
31%
35%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1983 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1983 |
PAR
4 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
PER
0 - 2
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
PER
2 - 1
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
COL
2 - 2
PER
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |