Uruguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
38%
22%
40%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1957 |
URU
5 - 2
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1956 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
PER
2 - 4
CRC
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1956 |
CHI
2 - 2
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1956 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |