Uruguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
56%
19%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
CHI
2 - 2
URU
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
56%
19%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
PER
1 - 1
PAR
73%
14%
12%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
PER
4 - 2
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |