Uruguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
35%
21%
44%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |