Uruguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
38%
23%
40%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1936 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1935 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1935 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
PER
4 - 2
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 1936 |
PER
7 - 3
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |