Uruguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1929 |
PER
1 - 4
URU
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1929 |
URU
0 - 3
PAR
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1930 |
ROU
3 - 1
PER
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
PAR
5 - 0
PER
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1929 |
PER
1 - 4
URU
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
3 - 0
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1927 |
ARG
5 - 1
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |