Uruguay vs Selección Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.3%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
+6
8%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.8%
1.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1913 |
URU
4 - 2
PAU
94%
5%
2%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1913 |
URU
2 - 0
PAU
94%
5%
2%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1913 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1913 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1913 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
61%
20%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Selección Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1913 |
URU
4 - 2
PAU
94%
5%
2%
|
9 | 71 | 62 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1913 |
URU
2 - 0
PAU
94%
5%
2%
|
9 | 71 | 62 | 0 |