Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
17%
21%
63%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
68%
18%
14%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 0
MEX
35%
24%
41%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 3
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
ECU
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |