Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
URU
2 - 0
VEN
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
URU
5 - 4
CRC
64%
21%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
URU
0 - 3
BRA
5%
14%
81%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
GTM
0 - 0
PAR
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
40%
26%
35%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
63%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |