Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1995 |
URU
4 - 1
VEN
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1995 |
URU
2 - 2
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
URU
7 - 0
NZL
70%
20%
10%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1995 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
70%
20%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
YUG
1 - 0
URU
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1995 |
MEX
1 - 2
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
59%
25%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1995 |
NZL
2 - 3
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAR
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
TUR
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |