Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1983 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
45%
29%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1982 |
URU
2 - 0
CHN
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1982 |
IND
1 - 3
URU
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1982 |
CHN
0 - 0
URU
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
URU
2 - 2
KOR
52%
27%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1983 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
45%
29%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1982 |
ANT
1 - 0
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHI
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |