Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1979 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1979 |
PER
2 - 0
URU
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1979 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
58%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 0
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |