Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1959 |
URU
5 - 0
ARG
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
URU
3 - 0
BRA
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
URU
4 - 0
ECU
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1959 |
URU
1 - 3
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1959 |
ARG
4 - 2
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1959 |
URU
1 - 3
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1959 |
PAR
2 - 1
PER
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
4 - 1
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |