Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1957 |
PRY
5 - 0
URY
38%
22%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1957 |
URY
1 - 0
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 1
URY
31%
21%
48%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
ARG
1 - 1
URY
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1957 |
URY
0 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1957 |
PRY
5 - 0
URY
38%
22%
41%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
PRY
3 - 0
COL
66%
17%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 2
PRY
38%
20%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
COL
2 - 3
PRY
40%
20%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1957 |
PRY
0 - 1
BOL
70%
15%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |