Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
9.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1954 |
AUT
3 - 1
URY
62%
18%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1954 |
HUN
4 - 2
URY
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1954 |
URY
4 - 2
ENG
37%
22%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1954 |
URY
7 - 0
SCT
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
URY
2 - 0
CSK
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
5 - 3
PRY
85%
9%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
PRY
1 - 1
URY
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
URY
1 - 4
PRY
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRA
4 - 1
PRY
78%
13%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PRY
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |