Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
URU
3 - 2
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |