Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
73%
15%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1938 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1938 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1937 |
ARG
5 - 1
URU
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 0
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
0 - 1
PER
56%
21%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
3 - 2
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -2 |