Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1926 |
URU
6 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
0 - 2
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
25%
24%
51%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
40%
23%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
BOL
1 - 6
PAR
56%
21%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
8 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
15%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1926 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1926 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARG
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1925 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |