Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1924 |
URU
5 - 0
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1924 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1924 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1923 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |