Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1923 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
44%
23%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1923 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1923 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 2
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -2 |