Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1922 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
45%
23%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CHI
0 - 2
URU
29%
23%
48%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1922 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1922 |
PAR
3 - 0
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1921 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |