Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1921 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1921 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1920 |
CHI
1 - 2
URU
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
3 - 0
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1921 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1921 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1921 |
PAR
2 - 2
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1921 |
PAR
3 - 1
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |