Uruguay vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
URY
2 - 1
FRA
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
0 - 0
URY
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
PRT
3 - 0
URY
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
ESP
1 - 1
URY
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
ROU
1 - 0
URY
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
MEX
87%
9%
5%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
FRA
1 - 1
MEX
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
5 - 0
MEX
77%
14%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
NIR
4 - 1
MEX
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
CHE
1 - 1
MEX
42%
23%
36%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |