Uruguay vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
ISR
73%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1970 |
PER
4 - 2
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
ITA
3 - 0
DDR
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1969 |
ITA
4 - 1
WAL
83%
12%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |