Uruguay vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1924 |
FRA
1 - 5
URU
31%
23%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1924 |
URU
3 - 0
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1924 |
URU
7 - 0
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
80 | 11 | 69 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1924 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1924 |
NED
3 - 1
EST
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1924 |
NED
2 - 1
IRL
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1924 |
NED
6 - 0
ROU
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1924 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
NED
0 - 1
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |