Uruguay vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
URU
2 - 1
POR
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
URU
3 - 0
RUS
58%
22%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
URU
1 - 0
KSA
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
EGY
0 - 1
URU
28%
25%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
URU
3 - 0
UZB
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 3
ARG
50%
24%
27%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
DEN
0 - 0
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
AUS
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
USA
70%
19%
12%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |