Uruguay vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
0 - 0
URU
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
POR
3 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
ESP
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
ROU
1 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1966 |
ISR
1 - 2
URU
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
FRA
1 - 1
MEX
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1966 |
FRA
0 - 3
BEL
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
FRA
0 - 0
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
FRA
4 - 1
LUX
78%
13%
10%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |