Uruguay vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1924 |
URU
3 - 0
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1924 |
URU
7 - 0
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
80 | 11 | 69 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1924 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1924 |
FRA
7 - 0
LVA
47%
23%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1924 |
FRA
1 - 3
ENG
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
SUI
3 - 0
FRA
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1924 |
FRA
2 - 0
BEL
34%
23%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
FRA
0 - 2
NOR
50%
22%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |