Uruguay vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
39%
31%
30%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 1
URU
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
URU
1 - 0
PAR
61%
24%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1985 |
URU
3 - 0
DDR
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
URU
1 - 1
MEX
53%
26%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
FIN
79%
14%
8%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1985 |
ESP
3 - 1
FIN
82%
14%
5%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1984 |
KSA
2 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
19%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
NIR
2 - 1
FIN
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1984 |
TUR
1 - 2
FIN
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |