Uruguay vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
URU
1 - 4
GER
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
URU
0 - 1
POL
51%
26%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1992 |
BRA
1 - 2
URU
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
40%
28%
32%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
URU
2 - 1
CRC
64%
23%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
USA
3 - 4
GER
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
USA
2 - 0
ENG
16%
28%
56%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
USA
0 - 2
BRA
14%
26%
60%
|
78 | 96 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1993 |
USA
0 - 0
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
USA
0 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |