Uruguay vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1924 |
URU
7 - 0
YUG
86%
10%
5%
|
80 | 11 | 69 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1924 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1924 |
USA
1 - 0
EST
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1916 |
NOR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1916 |
SWE
2 - 3
USA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |