Uruguay vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 2
URU
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1990 |
NIR
1 - 0
URU
36%
31%
33%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
GER
3 - 3
URU
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1990 |
URU
1 - 2
MEX
47%
28%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
URU
2 - 0
CRC
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1990 |
YUG
0 - 1
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ESP
2 - 3
AUT
66%
21%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
58%
25%
18%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUI
75%
17%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
ESP
4 - 0
HUN
57%
24%
19%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |