Uruguay vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
URU
8 - 0
BOL
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
PAR
3 - 2
URU
49%
20%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
42%
21%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1950 |
ESP
2 - 0
CHI
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
ESP
3 - 1
USA
76%
13%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
ESP
5 - 1
POR
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |