Uruguay vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
URU
2 - 0
CSK
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1954 |
PDS
1 - 7
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 3
URU
44%
21%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
46%
21%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
URU
1 - 4
PAR
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1954 |
AUT
1 - 0
SCO
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1954 |
FIN
1 - 2
SCO
38%
22%
41%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1954 |
NOR
1 - 1
SCO
46%
22%
33%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1954 |
SCO
1 - 0
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
ENG
36%
22%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |