Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
75%
17%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
URU
1 - 1
GTM
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
URU
16%
21%
63%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 0
PAR
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 0
ECU
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |