Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
COL
1 - 2
URU
42%
24%
34%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
4 - 2
URU
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
62%
21%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 1
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
62%
21%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
3 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
2 - 1
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |