Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
35%
28%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
35%
27%
39%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
BRA
4 - 2
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
62%
24%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |