Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
17%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1992 |
URU
2 - 0
AUS
64%
24%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1992 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
27%
29%
44%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
MEX
1 - 1
URU
57%
26%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 1
URU
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1992 |
CRC
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
GTM
1 - 1
ECU
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 94 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
ECU
4 - 0
BOL
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |