Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 1
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1991 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1991 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
70%
20%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
29%
31%
40%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1991 |
CHI
2 - 1
URU
45%
29%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CHI
3 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHI
39%
29%
32%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1991 |
PER
0 - 1
ECU
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |