Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1973 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 2
URU
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1973 |
COL
0 - 0
URU
21%
22%
56%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
HTI
0 - 0
URU
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1973 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 2
URU
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1973 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
62%
18%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
ECU
69%
16%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
ECU
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |