Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1959 |
URU
1 - 3
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1959 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
77%
13%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
COL
4 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 2
ECU
92%
6%
3%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
7 - 1
ECU
93%
5%
2%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
89%
8%
3%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |