Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1947 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
9 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
2 - 0
ECU
84%
11%
6%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +1 |